99Science · AI & science

SCIENCE UNDER AUTOMATION

AI in Social & behavioural science: capabilities and evidence

Research on people requires measurements of actual behaviour, defensible comparisons and interpretation in context.

Autonomy · up to 4.4 / 10

Model interval: 2.1–4.4. Assessed 21 October 2026.

Two equally weighted workflow families: a bounded operational task and an investigation or deployment beyond that task. Inherited subfields use this parent scenario.

Calculation and work mix

Each requirement uses the operational scale from 0 (independent execution unestablished) to 4 (reliable independent execution in the stated setting). A workflow takes its lowest requirement level. The two workflows receive equal weight; the headline is 1 + 9 × weighted level / 4.

These levels are source-linked model assignments, not measurements reported by the papers. “Up to” is the upper model bound, not a probability or a forecast date.

Reproduce and examine an existing quantitative analysis: 1–2 / 4.

Establish a new result about people or institutions: 0–1 / 4.

Upper bound with 75:25 workflow weights: 4.9. With 25:75 weights: 3.8.

What has AI demonstrated?

Across 221 tasks from 54 papers, Claude Code achieved 93.4% task accuracy and 78.0% paper accuracy; Codex achieved 62.1% and 35.8%.

Test
Primary preprint; three independent runs
Comparison
Comparators vary by study; see the linked sources.
System and version
SocSci-Repro-Bench · 2026-06-09
Evidence checked
2026-10-21

Original replication materials were provided. Ten tasks concerned identifying absent materials. Prompt framing could induce confirmatory specification search.

What does the field require?

Reproduce and examine an existing quantitative analysis

Establish a new result about people or institutions

Research tasks

Reproduce and examine an existing quantitative analysis

See the requirement-level assessment and its sources.

Establish a new result about people or institutions

See the requirement-level assessment and its sources.

Can AI replace the whole workflow?

The results above measure specific tasks. The field assessment also requires completion of the connected workflow, including the requirements listed here. A field-wide replacement percentage has not been established.

Read the assessment method

Sources and related evidence

Compare related fields

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